Magnus Carlsen guessed Hans Niemann was cheating because he didn’t seem tense during their game
Now Niemann’s been determined to have cheated a LOT
Methodology used is interesting - they ran his games through algorithm and they found his accuracy was like 100%
Bobby Fischer 72%, Magnus Carlsen 70%, Kasparov 69%, Super GMs at 64-68%
Hans Niemann is basically 100% all the time
So if he’s really so good he will win a lot over the board over the next few years because of anti-cheating rules coming in so he can prove his prowess
Lot of losers now who don’t want to work hard and just win
So he isn’t caught in the act but the computer evidence is pretty damning - so no hard evidence yet that he’s cheating
Fishing scandal - fish stuffed with weights and filling - what’s going on?
Poker front running
Even in Twitch they are using software overlays to help aim better
Now people are figuring out how they are cheating using aim bots
So there’s a decay of personal responsibility - they want easy solution, quick answer and want to get to the finish line to solve all their problems - people become corrupt individuals
Poker woman getting in trouble
Twitter deal
Seems performance clause in contract means deal has to get done
For it to not go through, Banks have to walk away from debt committed to so Elon gets to walk away
Deal should probably close in the next few weeks - so should have bought the twitter stock and made a lot of money
Elon should be able to save money by moving the app to the public cloud
Twitter has a reputation for cultural technical competence
Typical M&A transaction its 30% premium (Elon is overpaying now but he should be able to make it back)
JCal and Sacks recused themselves from the discussion because they are being subpoenaed
Tesla AI Day
Tesla is building their own supercomputer and their own chips
Meta announced a text to video announcement - can make a whole movie by talking to a computer!
Statistical models are now able to resolve dynamically because of amazing computing progress over the last decade -
Chamath hired a Googler and called him Data Scientist
Friedberg ran Climate Corp - 4.0 Advanced Math from CalTech - started Math team - cool team
Compute has been scaling a lot over the years - Moore’s law and now GPUs
Marginal cost of intelligence is going to go to 0
When this happens, humans have to differentiate themselves from computers - be more humans, less compute intensive, more emotional
Humans on earth evolution
Passive
Did things so became:
Laborers
Figured out how to get this done using machines so became:
Creators
Now figured out how to get this done too using AI, so will become:
Narrators
Read Enlightenment Now by Steven Pinker
We do much more leisure because of more automation
Biden Marijuana pardons
Potential election related?
Legal cannabis industry doesn’t work in California because they don’t have access to financial system so its all cash only
However, not clear that marijuana is harmless anymore - some of the new variants are very potent
Be very careful as parents - this is not for kids
This stuff is very bad - it should not be in a convenience store
Section 230 - Scotus
Google is being sued for ISIS videos on YouTube
Supreme court justices are going to be probably aligned on this
Texas 5th circuit court case saying social media companies are platforms and are more like phone companies
Positive rights vs Negative rights
Historically google and facebook have been told that asking them to ban certain accounts or not ban is infringing on their speech rights
How is that sensible given that Google can produce its own content and make their own speech?
If its a big enough monopolistic platform, they should not ban certain people
They are editorializing - their algorithm does what a human did previously
Are we sure these are built-in monopolies? Then how do you expect Tiktok to succeed?
Tiktok has become bigger than YouTube almost
Government shouldn’t play a role - this is not like telephone companies laid lines and have physical monopoly - internet is free and companies are being funded to disrupt incumbents
The problem is that the companies act like monopolies - their collective effect is like a speech cartel
These are not public service providers but private service providers that the market is telling them what to do
Are we sure its market forces or is it more of political forces?
Maybe common carrier status is not at Facebook, Twitter level but maybe at AWS, Banks, Phone carriers, etc?
Maybe have choice of algorithms that serve content to you - example CommonSense media
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