October 7 2022
- Friedberg episode caused CallIn to crash
- Cheating Scandals
- Magnus Carlsen guessed Hans Niemann was cheating because he didn’t seem tense during their game
- Now Niemann’s been determined to have cheated a LOT
- Methodology used is interesting - they ran his games through algorithm and they found his accuracy was like 100%
- Bobby Fischer 72%, Magnus Carlsen 70%, Kasparov 69%, Super GMs at 64-68%
- Hans Niemann is basically 100% all the time
- So if he’s really so good he will win a lot over the board over the next few years because of anti-cheating rules coming in so he can prove his prowess
- Lot of losers now who don’t want to work hard and just win
- So he isn’t caught in the act but the computer evidence is pretty damning - so no hard evidence yet that he’s cheating
- Fishing scandal - fish stuffed with weights and filling - what’s going on?
- Poker front running
- Even in Twitch they are using software overlays to help aim better
- Now people are figuring out how they are cheating using aim bots
- So there’s a decay of personal responsibility - they want easy solution, quick answer and want to get to the finish line to solve all their problems - people become corrupt individuals
- Poker woman getting in trouble
- Twitter deal
- Seems performance clause in contract means deal has to get done
- For it to not go through, Banks have to walk away from debt committed to so Elon gets to walk away
- Deal should probably close in the next few weeks - so should have bought the twitter stock and made a lot of money
- Elon should be able to save money by moving the app to the public cloud
- Twitter has a reputation for cultural technical competence
- Typical M&A transaction its 30% premium (Elon is overpaying now but he should be able to make it back)
- JCal and Sacks recused themselves from the discussion because they are being subpoenaed
- Tesla AI Day
- Tesla is building their own supercomputer and their own chips
- Meta announced a text to video announcement - can make a whole movie by talking to a computer!
- Statistical models are now able to resolve dynamically because of amazing computing progress over the last decade -
- Chamath hired a Googler and called him Data Scientist
- Friedberg ran Climate Corp - 4.0 Advanced Math from CalTech - started Math team - cool team
- Compute has been scaling a lot over the years - Moore’s law and now GPUs
- Marginal cost of intelligence is going to go to 0
- When this happens, humans have to differentiate themselves from computers - be more humans, less compute intensive, more emotional
- Humans on earth evolution
- Passive
- Did things so became:
- Laborers
- Figured out how to get this done using machines so became:
- Creators
- Now figured out how to get this done too using AI, so will become:
- Narrators
- Passive
- Read Enlightenment Now by Steven Pinker
- We do much more leisure because of more automation
- Biden Marijuana pardons
- Potential election related?
- Legal cannabis industry doesn’t work in California because they don’t have access to financial system so its all cash only
- However, not clear that marijuana is harmless anymore - some of the new variants are very potent
- Be very careful as parents - this is not for kids
- This stuff is very bad - it should not be in a convenience store
- Section 230 - Scotus
- Google is being sued for ISIS videos on YouTube
- Supreme court justices are going to be probably aligned on this
- Texas 5th circuit court case saying social media companies are platforms and are more like phone companies
- Positive rights vs Negative rights
- Historically google and facebook have been told that asking them to ban certain accounts or not ban is infringing on their speech rights
- How is that sensible given that Google can produce its own content and make their own speech?
- If its a big enough monopolistic platform, they should not ban certain people
- They are editorializing - their algorithm does what a human did previously
- Are we sure these are built-in monopolies? Then how do you expect Tiktok to succeed?
- Tiktok has become bigger than YouTube almost
- Government shouldn’t play a role - this is not like telephone companies laid lines and have physical monopoly - internet is free and companies are being funded to disrupt incumbents
- The problem is that the companies act like monopolies - their collective effect is like a speech cartel
- These are not public service providers but private service providers that the market is telling them what to do
- Are we sure its market forces or is it more of political forces?
- Maybe common carrier status is not at Facebook, Twitter level but maybe at AWS, Banks, Phone carriers, etc?
- Maybe have choice of algorithms that serve content to you - example CommonSense media
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