May 16 2022 Nate Silver - What makes gamblers tick? He is working on a book with this theme The best gamblers: Need to understand probability Complex mathematics combined with intuition Are highly competitive, not average Care about small edges, win 54-57% of sports bets Are contrarians - there’s a fine line between being ahead of the curve and being permanently contrarian Take shots Work well with incomplete information Focus on the process, not results Are opportunistic Good players fold 70% of the time Thinking, focusing and concentrating hard on taxing on the brain and body - Magnus Carlsen loses 5 lbs in a chess game Apply Practiced Intuition - read “Thinking Fast and Slow” by Daniel Kahneman Are structured thinkers Don’t care that much about money - move between states: {super rich, rich, broke} Q and A In politics, people just look for their priors Need good BS detectors Get boundary policed a lot Challenger party is more motivated to turn out You always...