November 17 2023
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Dean Phillips joins the besties
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JCal is back
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Dean Phillips
- Running for President
- Represents Minnesota’s 3rd district
- Origin story
- Ran Talenti Gelato
- Lost dad in Vietnam war when he was 6 months old
- Created Belvedere Vodka - sold the business
- Jay Z helped launch it
- Started trend of influencers
- Joined politics after Trump election - 2018
- Time in congress
- Democrats and Republicans in congress kept separate
- Senators and House members spend 10000 hours per week fund raising
- Legal corruption stories
- Problem solvers caucus
- Complimentary of Biden’s work but looking forward
- Apparently Vice President also has some ownership in some of the issues
- Affordability is hard for american people right now
- Biden has lowest approval ratings in presidential history
- Losing to Trump in 5 out of 6 battleground states
- Biggest line item in Dean’s budget is security
- 21 people have signed up for Presidential candidate from Democrats
- New Hampshire has best process - $1000 check, 35 years old, born in this country and can sign up for President
- Virginia is much more expensive
- Ukraine Russia war
- Would have taken apparent March 2022 deal
- Read Future Shock
- Would make standards same for all social media outlets - that way rein in TikTok
- Wants to allow verified accounts discussion to happen
- Minimum age might be a good idea
- As bad as alcohol
- Middle East
- Wants hostages released
- Ceasefire
- Peace keeping force of neighbors
- Multi-national coalition designed to eliminate Hamas
- Investing in democratic civil society
- Saudi-Israel deal was close and that’s why this probably happened
- Border issue
- Despicable embarassing failure of American policy
- Visited recently - acknowledges its a problem
- High skill immigration can be different from asylum immigration
- Spending and US fiscal state
- Can’t tax GDP more than 20% else economists show it will shrink
- Debt service is too high
- People sleeping on the streets
- Kids going hungry
- Bad schools
- $2T deficit
- No child care, No pre-K education
- 2033 - social security will probably run out
- American millionaires have added more money (percentage wise) than top 10% of families
- Universal health care that will actually save money
- Military - too much spending
- Causes the wars
- Zero based budgeting
- Teachers are important for children
- AI regulation should be narrow
- Debrief
- Did a good job highlighting role of regulatory capture in Democratic party
- Sacks would pick him over Nikki Haley
- Friedberg would pick him over Biden
- Chamath liked his business war stories
- Jason liked his ability to engage
- Besties have sent first podcast kits to 4 presidential candidates
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Xi and Biden in San Francisco
- China also losing investment
- US too busy with other wars
- China is biggest buyer of US agricultural exports ($200B a year)
- Newsom admitted that he could have cleaned up the city if he wanted to
- All this time he claimed it was a local problem
- Will do it for Xi, Dreamforce, Superbowl but not for city people
- He was able to go to China - it must have been endorsed - so he’s auditioning
- Biden is basically endorsing him
- China also losing investment
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DeepMind weather forecasting model
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Better than traditional weather forecasting
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Other older systems run on $200M+ systems
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Some of them take $1B per year to do forecasting
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They sell it to news organizations
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Have just been adding more compute to do a better job
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DeepMind used a graph neural network - used old data (going back to 70s) + data from last 6 hours and predicted for next 10 days
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Better results apparently - runs in 1 minute
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Small compute
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Can do weather all around the world
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Totally upends a lot of business models
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GNNs can be applied elsewhere too
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Dept of Commerce can now save billions of dollars
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