E203: November 8 2024
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Trump Wins!
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Holiday Party
- Steve Aoke DJing
- Andrea Botez + Alex will do DJ and Chess
- Spending $1M+
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All In expanded the overton window + foil (Sacks and Jason) - so helped Trump win
- Indirectly Jason starting All In Pod helped Trump win maybe!
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Sacks at Mar A Lago
- Joined Tucker show in the library
- Trump felt calm
- Met Elon, Jared, etc
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Trump had a resounding victory
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What happened
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People got tired of being judged harshly by the Dems
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Comprehensive victory
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Inflation
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Bad Dem candidate
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Podcast strategy
- Chamath was with Clinton, Obama (during Brexit had breakfast), etc
- Dems only come to him for money
- Trump was the only one who just talked to him
- There have been deliberate efforts to perturb the way he is portrayed and how people from across him are portrayed
- Message, Messenger and Campaign Strategy
- Manchin was driven into retirement and Sinema was kicked out of the party because Dems didn’t get to pass even more $4.5T spending
- Even in CA - 70% of voters supported Prop 36
- Newsom was against it - Harris didn’t say what she picked
- Democratic is very affluent, over educated and out of touch types - elitist - so won’t admit why they lost
- CA or NY might be lost to the Democrats at this rate in the next 8 years
- Democrats outspent Republicans and lost handily
- Earned Media vs Paid Media
- Harris was a trash candidate - Sacks’s doom loop prediction was correct - she couldn’t handle Rogan
- Inflation was a big factor
- Democrats wouldn’t defend their own record because it was so bad
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House and Senate Races
- Having 53+ senate seats should help Trump get cabinet appointments done
- Bobby Kennedy?
- 99% chance of winning House according to Polymarket
- Trump’s mandate is to reform the bureaucracy
- US government is probably second only to CCP as size of organisation
- Senate majority leader race is important too - Mitch McConnell hurt Trump in the first term
- Neocons should not be able to infiltrate the administration like they did in the first Trump term (like John Bolton, etc)
- Friedberg would love to help with DOGE
- Chamath and Sacks would like to serve part time
- Elon did incredible job focusing on the election
- Apparently Kamala campaign raised $1B and is still $20M in debt
- Jen O’Malley Dillon was maybe the manager
- Obama seemed to indulge in lies too during the campaign (very fine people hoax, abortion ban, etc)
- When holding Trump to account, understand the difference between campaigning and governing
- Having 53+ senate seats should help Trump get cabinet appointments done
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Cabinet shakeup - dealing with the unelected bureaucrats
- Zero based budgeting
- Can re-establish trust in the govt - Bobby Kennedy’s role will be very important
- AI and radical transparency will be amazing to see what happened
- JFK case
- Diddy list
- Epstein list
- Covid
- Twitter Files for the government would be incredible
- Foia request foiling has happened in the past
- Need to have democracy rule over the bureaucracy
- 3M in the government - almost all of them don’t report to the President
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California rejects progressives
- Daniel Lurie beat out London Breed for mayor
- SF has highest budget per capita of any city in the US - more than NY
- First time outsider has been elected mayor since 1911 - every other one has been an existing government employee
- Jason was approached with M+ funds to run in the past
- Dean Preston is out - yay!
- Gascon out from LA - ruined SF and LA
- Nathan Hochman beat him
- Prop 36 was passed by Newsom and Harris a decade ago
- Even wokes and blue state liberals don’t want their cars broken into
- Home invasions have started again in LA
- Newsom allowed CA to be overtaken by Soros DAs
- Sacks for Governor
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Abortion rights
- Florida had 15 weeks, became 6 weeks a few months ago, now latest ballot measure would increase to 24 weeks - but failed to pass - needed 60%, hit 57%
- Republicans know not to touch this issue at the national level
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