Skip to main content

All In Podcast Episode 198 Recap and Notes October 3 2024

October 3 2024

  • Mark Cuban joins the podcast!
  • Cuban’s history with Trump
    • Quite amicable overall
    • Likes him personally but doesn’t think he’s the right person for the job
  • Trump’s record
    • Bad
      • Didn’t show great leadership during the BLM riots
      • Support for Saudis during Yemen conflict
      • Interesting linkage between price of oil rise to track inflation
        • Trump helped oil companies by asking Saudis and Putin to curtail production - the deal was 2 years long - and that led to high inflation for that duration which got better after the deal expired
        • Friedberg counters that the cause of inflation was government and Fed monetary and fiscal policy - of pouring trillions of dollars into the world economy (unprecedented)
        • Everything was constrained, not just energy
        • Larry Summers also warned in Q1 of Biden-Harris administration that they were doing the wrong thing with passing the Inflation Explosion Act
    • Good
      • Great salesman, crowd motivator
      • Bringing down corporate tax rate
      • Capital gains
      • Operation Warp Speed
  • Biden’s record
    • Compares Democrats’ process vs Republicans’ process
    • Bad
      • Border disaster
      • Spending and stimulus was bad
      • EV chargers was bad
      • Filibuster removal will be bad
      • Lina Khan and FTC was bad
    • Good
      • Infrastructure bill was good
      • Broadband bill is good
      • Pharmacy benefits
      • Country tone change was good
  • Kamala Harris
    • Smart election campaign
  • International Affairs
    • Supports Israel (he’s Jewish), against Hamas
    • Thinks Gaza approach was too strong, Hezbollah approach was right
    • Ukraine
    • Crazy national debt
    • Crypto regulation
      • Against Elizabeth Warren - backing a Republican against her
      • Gary Gensler is a moron - regulation through litigation - sue you first, ask questions later
  • Why he sold the Mavs
    • Had tech advantage when he joined, now its a real estate play and so he wants to get out, still owns 27.7%
  • CostPlusDrugs.com
    • Able to provide drugs real cheap
    • Incumbents enjoy price opacity
  • AI
    • Agents will just be a feature, not a product
    • Everyone will have models
  • Knicks trade sounds good
  • Elon
    • Great entrepreneur
    • Twitter was a mess
  • OpenAI conversion
    • Karma will come back to hit them
    • Nothing says they will win
    • Likes Gemini 1.6, NotebookLM, Meta

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

All In Podcast Episode 195 Recap and Notes September 6 2024

September 6 2024 Founder Mode!!! AIS 2024 Lineup Announcements Elon! Marc Benioff Bari Weiss Kristen Sinema John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs Nikesh Arora Peter Thiel Michael Ovitz (read his book) Panels Tech Robotics Jobee, Archer, Whisk Gecko Robotics - product demo Waymo CEO Altos Labs CEO Adyen - Ingo Megyn Kelly Woody Hoburg Astronaut Thomas Lafont - Coatue cofounder Sponsors Accel Events Merch.com Etc Google Cloud $350K per AI startup Paul Graham Founder Mode essay Brian Chesky YC advice talk Inspired by how Jobs ran Apple maybe Manager mode vs Founder mode There are managers like Nikesh Arora, Shantanu Narayen, Satya Nadella who have created more value than almost all founders bar 1-2 Similar prior art High Output Management - Andy Grove Demon mode at Elon’s companies (from Walter Isaacson book) How novel is this concept really - but also how true is it Silicon Valley ecosystem revolves around Founders But Founders aren’t always rig

All In Podcast Episode 193 Recap and Notes August 23 2024

August 23 2024 Sit to pee BLS revises job numbers down ~30% 818000 down - March 2023 - Mar/Apr 2023 2.9M → 2.1M Largest revision since 2009 (GFC) Professional and business services down Sacks called it MIT publishes admissions data post affirmative action end Racial composition has changed from previously Tier 2 schools’s students might be better than Tier 1 schools’s because they are not corrupted by woke DEI nonsense, are less entitled and work harder Election Kamala doing better in the polls (Silver Bulletin shows her kinda in the lead) But Polymarket has Trump ahead Polling vs Prediction Markets is interesting Comparison of tickets Private vs Public JD Vance is historically the most unpopular VP pick Media coverage of Harris is 84% +ve and Trump is 89% -ve Walz and Harris have only ever worked for the government Vance and Trump have worked in private business Gina Raimundo caught being unaware of BLS - reacted with shock to jobs repo

All In Podcast Episode 197 Recap and Notes September 27 2024

September 27 2024 OpenAI memoriam parody Chamath on Joe Rogan OpenAI $150B valuation Converting to B corp - benefit corp - kinda like C corp - so fiduciary for not just shareholders but some external factors that’s more than just profits Patagonia is similar - for profit with a mission Non profit is a minority shareholder - much smaller now Profit cap will be removed Probably raising $6.5B Altman might get 7% stake Bull case Can probably invest the capital well - they have lead in model performance, etc Could become a true global player Maybe computing extensions stuff Revenue growth seems strong Some rumors have it higher than 3.4B so closer to 5B maybe? So valuation might be warranted Bear case Underlying technology could be replaced by open source (is Llama really good?) Meta could incorporate AI assistants into their app eco system - Google could do the same thing - so you don’t have to go to ChatGPT maybe Competing with large companies will b