July 4 2024
- Besties chilling
- All In Summit
- Will discuss politics, media, AI meets enterprise software, robotics, etc
- 400 tickets will be released on scholarships
- Birds of a feather dinner first night
- Next 2 nights parties
- Presidential race
- Kamala Harris chances of becoming nominee have sky-rocketed
- Polymarket shows chances of Biden dropping out are at 77%
- Biden seems to have 1 more chance now - the ABC interview with George Stephanopoulos
- Jason thinks Dems will do a speed run primary
- Harris is best positioned because all contributions have been made to Biden-Harris campaign (to tune of ~ billion dollars?)
- Democrat party won’t hand over the reins to billionaires - Mike Bloomberg already lost because of this
- Trump shattered the structure of the Republican party - took over the party through democracy and voting (attacking forever wars, being hard on China, etc)
- Democratic party is ultimate insiders party - insiders picking insiders
- Its Kamala or bust for them
- There might be a rift now between donor class and democratic party leadership
- If Biden isn’t fit to run, how is he fit to serve?
- If Kamala steps in she can get a huge jump in credibility
- Risk is that she does something risky to prove herself vs Biden being a steady hand
- Example: A week or 2 ago American cluster bombs were used on the beach in Crimea to kill Russians sunbathing
- Russians said they are no longer in a state of peace with America
- How will Kamala handle this situation?
- Example: A week or 2 ago American cluster bombs were used on the beach in Crimea to kill Russians sunbathing
- They are showing their hand that Biden won’t run - if he was going to then he would be on all media - he isn’t
- Starting to see leaks and fissures - Axios article out about President being roped off has some random names - are they targets or whats the purpose?
- Media also participated in lie that Biden is fine
- Stephanopoulos didn’t let Haley get away with questioning his mental fitness
- Scarborough claimed this is the best Biden
- Cheap fakes claim
- Instead should have had a robust Dem primary a year ago and honest reporting by the media - then feeding frenzy would have had a year ago
- This is why people have a point of view on Trump because everything is out - whereas with Biden everything has been constrained and controlled
- SCOTUS rules on social media moderation
- Originates in Florida and Texas laws from 2021
- Court gave unanimous decision - so they’re signaling it should never have been brought
- Florida and Texas are also being protectionist with a bunch of these kinds of laws protecting special interests instead of looking out for their citizens and innovations
- The court’s record is not that partisan if you look at their track record
- SCOTUS overturns Chevron, limiting the power of federal agencies
- Building companies that deal with Federal agencies is painful - under Chevron doctrine, the agencies are basically vested with unlimited authority - can create all kinds of new rules and regulations - they have an incentive to do so - so they can ask Congress to ask for more budget and hire more people - this natural organic growth happens automatically
- Has allowed agencies to operate independent and outside the lines of what they were supposed to work on
- The negative consequence is that some important agencies’ work should have become laws/bills and now that will get messy
- Came about in 1984 during Reagan because folks - especially conservatives - thought courts were activist
- Main problem being solved is reining in the administrative state
- Warren and other elected leaders are reacting badly asking to expand the court
- SCOTUS to hear case on Texas porn law
- Rick’s Cabaret stock crashed again - which kinda predicted last 2 recessions
- Might actually be more down due to OnlyFans
- Rick’s Cabaret stock crashed again - which kinda predicted last 2 recessions
- SCOTUS rules in favor of Trump in immunity law
- Sotomayor dissented
- Roberts response to dissent was quite reasonable
- Extremist position is that President could use this to assassinate their rival
- More realistic is that this prevents next President from targeting their predecessor
- Biden still says he’s running - super explicitly
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