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All In Podcast Episode 260 Recap and Notes February 6 2026

February 6 2026

  • Brad Gerstner joins the show
  • Sacks enjoying Texas
    • Easier to fix his internet in Texas than the state of California
  • Ohalo named after seminal archaeological site
    • Potatoes are 3rd biggest source of calories
    • Craft Ventures is on the cap table
    • If Jason gives personal check Friedberg will let him into the cap table
      • But then his LPs will ask him why its not in the fund
  • Epstein files
    • Jason
      • Is in the files
      • Met Epstein at billionaires dinner
      • Went to his house
      • Never went to the island
      • Exchanged some emails with him and made introductions
      • Met Ghislaine Maxwell
      • Jason was known as the Connector (see New Yorker profile) so he came on his radar
      • Didn’t spend much time with him
      • Interesting that Epstein was interested in meeting the BitCoin guys (as far back as in 2011)
    • NY Times article on the files goes after tech
      • Jason, Peter Thiel, Elon got more coverage in the article
      • Reid Hoffman didn’t get as much coverage
    • Bigger story is how he died - how come that is not the biggest story
    • Book recommendation by Friedberg - The Light of Other Days by Stephen Baxter and Arthur C Clarke
    • This is why we have a lack of trust in institutions
      • NY Times clearly has a list of approved targets
  • SaaS stocks crash
    • Claude CoWork release caused it?

    • FCF multiples are down huge - cut in half for some!

    • Revenue is not falling - its stable to increasing

    • Pullback is because of uncertainty

    • The workspace you want is the tool that has access to all the different tools - so Claude is well placed to take advantage of that

    • That might hurt the SaaS companies

    • The value capture at the next layer of the stack might be affecting this

    • SaaS companies have a conundrum of whether they should be open data or closed data (vs open source or closed source) - h/t Bill Gurley

    • Jason’s company creating a central employee (Ultron) that is connected to everything

    • The profit pool is shifting


    • Databricks, Snowflake, Clickhouse are all benefiting from the new trend

    • Value based pricing model instead of a per seat pricing model

      • So a Services business
        • SaaS takes over the Services economy
    • Amazon might get a lot of value out of this model in the future - deliver more to people with fewer people

    • Entire reboot of knowledge economy

  • Moltbook
    • ClawdBot → Moltbot
    • Facebook for Agents
    • Like a reddit board for Agents to talk to each other
    • Agent Swarms are having interesting conversations
      • Were they actually human prompted?
    • This changes the mental model of AI being middle to middle and not end to end
      • But now the AI can do the prompting
    • Moltbook has a skills file that any new agent that registers with it has to import
    • Maybe social computation that influences humans is what is happening with Moltbook
  • Kevin Warsh named new Fed Chair by Trump
    • Will succeed Jerome Powell

    • Has different views on inflation, raising rates, quantitative easing, etc

    • Inflation is down

    • One thing he can work on is to get better data at the Fed

    • Jerome Powell not raising rates in June 2021 likely cost the country trillions of dollars

  • SpaceX - xAI merger
    • Potential $1.25T combined company
    • Merging 2 biggest TAMs in the world (AI + Space)
    • We are limited by power (for scaling computer, AI applications, etc)
    • With that constraint, scarcity breeds innovation
    • 2 parallel paths
      • Elon path - Escape Earth and regulation constraints
      • Compute Efficiency scaling (electricity efficiency per token of output)
    • What if 1 man controls all the world’s compute?
      • Rest of the world won’t let it just happen - big obstacles business, social, political, etc
  • Trump Accounts
    • Invest America Act
    • Everyone gets a piece of the capitalism gains
    • 1.25M kids have claimed accounts already
    • Seeded with $5000
    • Social Security holds 1 asset - an IOU - a $4T note - all the money is spent by the government - that needs to change
    • If we can also cut spending

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