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All In Podcast Episode 266 Recap and Notes April 3 2026

 April 3 2026

  • No Sacks ๐Ÿ˜Ÿ
  • SpaceX IPO
    • $1.75T reported valuation
    • Should merge with Tesla to reduce noise and overhead for Elon
    • Moon manufacturing and logistics might be simpler - lower gravity, no atmosphere, make it easier to move things around without friction
    • Could be a fraction of the cost of doing the same on earth
    • Robots will help move Humans to the moon
    • Could be a fundamental parallel technology infrastructure
    • This is enabling other amazing entrepreneurs - like Vast making space stations, etc
    • This will unleash a huge economy of things that we have no idea about
    • Last mile logistics needs to be built
    • Space garbage collection needs to be figured out
    • Power generation is being worked on
    • Intersection of autonomy, robotics and space travel will expand humanity’s potential
    • Rebuttal to socialists on earth who are trying to stop everything
  • More 2026 IPOs
    • Anthropic, OpenAI, Databricks
    • Maybe Stripe, Canva, Cerebras
    • Riskier the further down the IPO chain you’re in
    • Claims of OpenAI secondary sales not being very high in value
    • OpenAI and Anthropic are incredible companies
  • Iran War
    • 34 days of Iran War
    • Trump addressed the nation - claims most American objectives achieved
    • Cost of war is high - 10s of billions - asking for more
    • Lives lost are tragic
    • Fertilizers (N - Nitrogen, K Potassium (this is what Ukraine is richest in - Potash, P Phosphorous)
      • N is the most common around the world - (most of it is obtained near where Natural Gas is available)
      • 35% of the world’s nitrogen fertilizer flows through Strait of Hormuz
        • China makes 15% - they are the swing producer - they shut out the rest of the world when the war started

        • You can see the price rise

        • This hurts around the world

        • The Qatar facility - the largest in the world - was destroyed - will take 3-5 years to restore

        • These supply chain problems are spreading shockwaves throughout the world

        • China is using this as leverage - also not buying corn, etc - double whammy to hurt American farmers

  • Trump’s approval rating
    • -17% - least popular he has ever been
    • Polymarket showing Dems winning Senate 51% House 86%
  • Bitcoin susceptible to Quantum Cryptography
    • Event Horizon seems to have moved up 20 years
    • A non-state actor would drain the honeypots but then will tell everyone that crypto has gone to shit and then will buy everything for cheap
    • Crypto Community needs to get their stuff in order within 5-7 years else things could go to hell
    • Quantum will do to crypto what AI is doing to SaaS
  • Besties stumping for their portfolio
  • Liquidity Summit
  • Re****-maxing?

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