Skip to main content

Posts

All In Podcast Episode 130 Recap and Notes May 26 2023

May 26 2023 Sacks hairstyle Friedberg bath DeSantis Twitter Spaces announcement DeSantis team wanted to do something different Worked with Twitter team to do it on Spaces Reached out to Elon/Twitter and reached out to Sacks Big moment divorcing ourselves from mainstream media Showing credibly that you don’t need to listen to 4 channels to shape your consciousness There were technical difficulties starting it up on Elon’s room - worked well when they moved to Sacks’ room Citizen journalism, podcasting, audio platforms DeSantis rolled with the punches - technical and political Contrast to Trump was stark Even Biden’s twitter account tried to troll it - that shows they acknowledged it Expected negative reaction from traditional media All political candidates should engage in long form discussion like this Big shots showed up - Michael Dell, Bill Ackman Book banning issue - its a curriculum discussion, books aren’t being banned from the state of Florida Media has...

All In Podcast Episode 129 Recap and Notes May 19 2023

May 19 2023 Bestie Performance Reviews Friedberg Called rich guy who wants to tax poor people Sacks Rich guy who got lucky Chamath Greedy capitalist Jason Least skilled knowledge worker Group 3 billionaires and Jcal AI senate hearing Sam Altman, Gary Marcus, <insert name> Sam said he doesn’t have equity in OpenAI He wants to create a licensing agency Classic regulatory capture All hedge funds, etc are long Nvidia and AMD This is rare that Silicon Valley is first time warning about dangers instead of outside voices Senators want to create new regulation instead of using existing laws Altman is being smart and trying to get a regulatory moat around his incumbency MosaicML model shoutout! Example of models that are becoming ubiquitous and pervasive and easy to run at the edge, etc This will make it hard to regulate - every computer, device etc could be running its own model So regulating this could be a fool’s errand HuggingFace models show th...

All In Podcast Episode 128 Recap and Notes May 12 2023

May 12 2023 AIS 2023 Royce Hall UCLA Sep 10-12 2023 3 tiers of tickets VIP tickets Scholarships Google announces PaLM2 for Bard Supports 100 languages Math and reasoning Duet AI for Google Cloud - AI powered collaborator Friedberg thinks its better than ChatGPT Google market cap is up $150B in the last 2 days Chamath and Jason roast each other using Bard prompts Google might need to work on Quality AI Regulation AI Alignment is a problem Deepfakes Provenance of data is an issue IAEA style regulation? This is just a way to create a regulatory moat to slow down the smaller guys Druckenmiller warning In 20 years entitlement spending will cover 60% of all taxes!!! We already spend almost 40% of taxes on seniors There is no number where the debt to GDP ratio issue breaks - we have always been ahead of the world World’s center for innovation, World’s mightiest military You have to weigh countries against each other Long US, Short every other country Tax ra...

All In Podcast Episode 127 Recap and Notes May 5 2023

May 5 2023 Robert F Kennedy Jr joins the show! Foreign Policy: Ukraine/Russia Is this a humanitarian crisis or war effort? This is an existential crisis for Russia 2014 administration supported violent coup overthrow of democratically elected government of Ukraine So Russia invaded Crimea Ukraine government illegalized Donbass language and culture - prompting civil war - killing 1000s of them Putin, while violent was not irrational to take the Donbass Best settlement for war was outlined in the Minsk Accords US has been doing integrative military exercises with Ukraine, integrating them into NATO forces - this was a red line for Russia JFK said: #1 job of a president is to keep the country out of the war Biden is pro war Trump walking away from missile treaty was another provocation for Russia George Kennan - why do we even have NATO anymore - when Soviet Union collapsed Taiwan De-escalate the conflict Don’t commit the country to bloody wars by forcing candidates ...

All In Podcast Episode 126 Recap and Notes April 28 2023

April 28 2023 Chamath likes lab-grown meat Big tech Google stock is up Announced $70B stock buy back plan Cloud unit is profitable first time in its history DeepMind and Google Brain merger Sundar feeling the strain Search revenue up YoY, down vs quarter Net Income $15B 2 things not presented were striking - Operating Costs and Model, competition vs OpenAI Seems there’s a lot of internal confidence in Google that they will AI Shareholders might lose faith if they don’t see proper technical direction from Google - might lose to Microsoft, Apple and Meta Google has huge advantage over Microsoft which is completely dependent on OpenAI They made a blunder by making transformers open and letting OpenAI get it - but they can recover Demis Hassabis went around Sundar to Larry apparently Don’t need CEO change to do 15-20% force reduction to get company humming on all cylinders We are now well past peak big tech - these are ex-growth large cash flow businesses - the way they g...

All In Podcast Episode 125 Recap and Notes April 20 2023

 April 20 2022 Antonio Gracias and Gavin Baker (Altreides) Bestie Guesties - JCal taping from Starbase - in a tiny home SpaceX launch AG is board member New engine/ship This vehicle will take us to Mars Falcon 9, etc were most successful vehicles This is a new one - needs to be stable $2M is the (variable) cost to get a 100 tons to orbit This is a step function change Falcon 9 mass to useful orbit is 17 metric tons - variable cost is ~$15M 100 metric tons for new engine is conservative This is about 50x change in cost - so Starlink, etc becomes much cheaper Interior space of this is size of ISS - its huge!!! There will be no more trans-atlantic trans-pacific flights - transportation logistics - fundamental change Experience of visiting Starbase is special - human beings can accomplish something like this is amazing Engineers living in gulfstreams in the middle of the desert - miles away from any major city - no potable water, no electric...

All In Podcast Episode 124 Recap and Notes April 14 2023

April 14 2023 AllIn Fan Meetups for E125 31 cities where people are getting together to listen/watch the show Similar to Rush rooms in the early 90s for Rush Limbaugh Understanding AutoGPTs Bunch of GPTs talking to each other in the background - like updating CRM, databases, book meetings, etc Github - code repository - where AutoGPT You can give it an assignment and then it can string together a bunch of prompts - so its the basis for autonomy Example: you are an event planner AI, plan a trip for me in Healdsburg this weekend including wine tasting, kid friendly requirements, people, etc - it did all of this by itself This is basis for a personal digital assistant Seminal moment - one after the other coming thick and fast This will be hard for people to control this Stanford and Google paper on Sims style simulation This week shows how fast the recursion is with AI Other technologies - takes a year or more - iPhone1, iPhone2, app store, etc Now breakthroughs are in d...