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All In Interview - Nate Silver - Recap and Notes - June 29 2026

June 29 2026

  • Nate Silver interviewed by Jason and Friedberg
  • Knicks chat
  • CA election - specifically LA
    • No evidence of fraud
    • Very partisan state
    • Election system is bad - unacceptable that it takes so long
  • Partisanship is the gravity that dictates every election in the US
    • We can predict 43/50 states with 97% accuracy likely at this time itself for the 2028 election
  • Democrat Party intra politics
    • 3 kinds of Dems according to him
      • Left wingers - Bernie
      • Abundance libs - Ezra Klein
      • Resistance lib faction - Gavin Newsom
  • 2028 prognostications
    • NY is more successful than CA because its more practical
    • Gavin Newsom not doing well
  • 2026 mid terms predictions
    • Democrats are 80-85% chance to take the House and 40-45% chance to take the Senate
    • Only thing Trump can do to help the Republicans is to get gas prices down

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